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Fitch: Study Shows U.S. Structured Finance Better Than Expected

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NEW YORK, Jul 03, 2012 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Fitch believes most U.S. structured finance categories performed better than many expected since the market downturn. A study performed on 14 subsectors in this marketplace indicated seven performed better than expected, two were in line with expectations, and five were below expectations. This is discussed further in the special report "Deconstructing U.S. Structured Finance Transition Rates," published on June 28, 2012. The data analyzed ran from January 2008 through Dec. 31, 2011.

Credit card ABS was one of the best performers. More than 98% of investment-grade bonds paid off, were upgraded, or stayed stable. We attribute some of the stability in this subsector to issuers, which increased subordination levels and used the discount option throughout the crisis. Nonetheless, performance would have remained stable even without these measures.

CMBS was less resilient but still better than expected at 'AAAsf', where over 94% of bonds paid in full or remained investment grade. Furthermore, the single-borrower subsector performed even better, as nearly 99% of 'AAAsf' rated bonds paid off or remained stable. Lower on the capital stack, performance deterioration accelerated quickly, but arguably not too far from expectations given the severity of the credit crisis, as more than 60% of 'Asf' rated bonds and nearly 70% of 'BBBsf' rated bonds were downgraded.

RMBS and CDOs were the poorest performers of the subsectors. Both were affected greatly by the performance of the U.S. residential market. They also had a big impact on our study, as U.S. RMBS comprised over 70% of the studied universe.

For more information, see "Deconstructing U.S. Structured Finance Transition Rates," available at www.fitchratings.com .

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com .

The above article originally appeared as a post on the Fitch Wire credit market commentary page. The original article, which may include hyperlinks to companies and current ratings, can be accessed at www.fitchratings.com . All opinions expressed are those of Fitch Ratings.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Deconstructing U.S. Structured Finance Transition Rates

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=682228

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS . IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE ' WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM '. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

SOURCE: Fitch Ratings



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